Posts Tagged draft

Easy E or Big Ben: The Debate of the Class of 2004

By Matt Valentine

The 2004 NFL deaft will certainly go down as one of the best drafts for Quarterbacks, perhaps in the history of the game.

That draft gave us 3 outstanding QB’s in Eli Manning the Number 1 overall pick, Ben Roethlisberger, and Phillip Rivers. Roethlisberger felt overlooked by the Giants when they chose Rivers with the fourth overall pick and packaged him in a trade to San Diego.

Big Ben vs. Easy E

Big Ben vs. Easy E

This Sunday’s marquee match-up between the 5-1 Steelers and the 5-1 Giants takes us back to a question many have been asking since that 2004 NFL draft: Which QB was the better pick?

It’s really a tough call, even for a Giants fan like myself, both QB’s have excelled at the game since entering the league though it is undeniable that it took Eli Manning more time to mature.

If based on pure stats Big Ben would seem to have the edge on Easy E. In his career thus far Roethlisberger has a better completion percentage (63.2), more yards (12,836), more TD (93), and less interceptions (57) then Eli.

In Eli’s career thus far he has a completion percentage of 55.4 has thrown for 12,774 yards, and has tossed 85 TD’s with 68 INT.Eli also led his team to a Super Bowl win last season against the undefeated Patriots.

In Roethlisberger’s first season he was dominant, going 13-0 and leading his team to a 15-1 record. In his next season he won the Super Bowl.

Manning’s first season was nowhere near as dominant. The Giants went 6-10 that year, with Manning compiling a 1-6 record.

In fact, Roethlisberger holds the edge in every statistical category including wins. Big Ben’s career record stands at 44-17 while Mannings’ stands at 35-26

So, if the game was measured in statistics alone clearly Roethlisberger would have the edge, but there are other factors to take into consideration.

For example, Manning was instrumental in leading the Giants on their playoff run and eventual Super Bowl win. Roethlisberger on the other hand, struggled mightily in his Super Bowl appearance and many would argue that his team won in spite of him not because of him.

Manning played superb in the Super Bowl and throughout his playoff run, leading his team on one of the most classic drives in history culminating with a 17 yard TD strike to Plaxico Burress to seal a 17-14 win over the then undefeated New England Patriots.

Also, Roethlisberger went to a team that was ready to win, and could suffer the occasional rookie mistake. Manning went to a team that was on a down swing and in just four years took them to a Super Bowl.

The debate will continue long after Sunday’s game and can only truly be measured when one of the two ends their football career. However, this Sunday at Heinz Field we get a measure of an answer with the winner taking the crown…at least for the time being.

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Cowboys Get Roy Williams

By Matt Valentine

In a last minute trade at the seldom used NFL trade deadline the Dallas Cowboys added WR Roy Williams to their roster.

Now, the only problem will be finding someone to throw him the ball the first three weeks while Tony Romo is sidelined with a broken pinkie for 4 weeks.

Roy Williams is now a Cowboy.

Roy Williams is now a Cowboy.

The move upgrades the Cowboys at a position that already has plenty of depth with receivers Terrell Owens, Patrick Crayton, Miles Austin and Sam Hurd. Hurd went down with an injury in the Cowboys loss to the Arizona Cardinals, but Miles Austin has progressed better then expected and has developed into a solid receiving option, with 8 receptions for 186 yards and 3 TD.

Williams should presumably be the successor to the T.O. throne in Dallas, with Owens nearing the age of 36. Though Owens shows no signs of becoming a less then elite option in the near future, the time will come when he will have to pack it in and Dallas has made steps to prevent a major drop off at the position.

Williams was a Matt Millen draft pick,one of the few good ones that Millen made, and has been productive with some very mediocre quarterbacks in the past. In his career Williams has 262 receptions for 3,884 yards and 29 touchdowns.Williams’ best season was 2006, when he went to the Pro Bowl after catching 82 passes for 1,310 yards and seven touchdowns

The trade came as a surprise to some seeing as the Cowboys could most likely use help on the defensive side of the ball, with the recent suspension of corner back Adam Jones and numerous injuries in their secondary leaving them depleted at the position.

Also, its my opinion that Cowboys gave up far too much for Williams. Perhaps the new GM in Detroit actually has a plan for the future and is doing so by stock piling draft picks at the Cowboys expense. The Cowboys gave the Lions a first, third, and sixth round pick in 2009. Detroit gave the Cowboys a seventh-rounder as well as Williams.

The addition of Williams will only heighten the Super Bowl expectations of the Cowboys who now trail the Giants by one game in the NFC East. Though at the moment the Cowboys have plenty of other things to worry about before they even think about getting to a Super Bowl.

The Cowboys will play their next three games without star QB Tony Romo who suffered a broken pinkie on his throwing hand during the teams loss to Arizona. During that stretch the Cowboys will Saint Louis, Tampa Bay and the Giants. Backup Brad Johnson has been named the started in the interim, but the Cowboys face trouble if they lose any of these games especially their match up against the Giants.

While in the long run the trade may prove to be beneficial for the Cowboys who now have one of the best 1-2 punches in the league. The trade may not pay immediate dividends with Brad Johnson throwing them the ball.

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NFL Reinstates Adam Jones

After 17 months of waiting in limbo for commissioner Roger Goodell to make a decision Adam Jones the cornerback for the Dallas Cowboys received word that he would be fully reinstated into the NFL and can fully participate in all team functions.

Jones was suspended into 2007 following a number of run-ins with police, one which resulted in a man being shot and paralyzed at a Las Vegas strip club. In all Jones has been arrested six times and involved in a dozen incidents total that required police involvement since he was drafted by the Titans in the first round of the 2005 draft.

As expected his teammates and friends sent him numerous congratulatory text messages and phone calls. But, no one was happier with the good news then Jones who let out a celebratory shout, followed by a phone call to his mother to let her in on the good news.

When asked what he could do to avoid future incidents Jones stated, “surrounding myself around the right people and staying out of gentlemen’s clubs, having a great relationship with God and spending more time with my family.”

For his part Goodell had stated through a league offical that he would not comment further on the reinstatement.

Jones will most likely play in the nickel and dime packages and could see some work as a return man on special teams. He played in the first  three preseason games, and started the third at left corner in place of injured Pro Bowler Terence newman, rookie Mike Jenkins had started the first two games. During that time Jones made 8 tackles and had one pass deflection. He also looked rusty times overunning some routes and looking unfimiliar in Dallas’ zone schemes.

Jones also had punt returns of 18 and 24 yards during that soan, and Cowboy’s coach Wade Phillips has stated that he may be used in the same position during the regular seasons especially considering the injuries the Cowboys have suffered to return men Austin Miles, and Isiah Stanback.

I for one am all for second chances, but I have to be honest when I say that if Adam Jones was just some run of the mill football player who could easily be replaced there is no chance in hell that he would have been reinstated. Basically I feel that by passing this decision down what the NFL has said is that if you are talented enough then any off the field transgressions no matter how long the list may be will essentially go unpunished. I understand that Jones did serve a lengthy suspension, but we are talking about a player who in just 2 years in the league had 12 run-ins with police. That’s six a year, if I was in trouble that much with the police I think it would be safe to say i wouldn’t be suspended from my job I’d be fired.

Either way, it’s now up to Jones to prove to the rest of us that this “turn around” is sincere and that his desire to play in the NFL outweighs all other things Only then will I believe the NFL made a good decision.

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Fantasy Football 2008 Running Back Sleepers

1.) Chris Johnson- Tennessee Titants

Chris Johnson

Chris Johnson

Chris Johnson has been displaying some tremendous skills in the preseason so far and his ridiculous speed (4.24, 40) gives him that home run ability we all like. Also, consider that the Titans ran the ball more than any other team in the league last year and that the only thing standing in his way is the hefty Lendale White. White is like the Jared Lorenzen of running backs only much more talented. Johnson will see the field often as the lightning to White’s thunder and tho he may not get the ball at the goal line, the Titans are going to find ways to get him out into open space and that bodes well for a nice fantasy sleeper. Johnson is going somewhere in the 12-15 round range and with his tremendous upside he could turn out to be the best “sleeper” out there.

2. Ray Rice-Blatimore Ravens

Ray Rice

Ray Rice

Given the status of McGahee’s balky knee, the fact that he came into camp overweight and out of shape, and the fact that Rice has been performing more then admirably when given his chances with the first team offense this preseason and you have the makings of a nice fantasy sleeper. Despite Rice’s fantastic preseason the Ravens have continued to state that McGahee will be the starting running back when the season opens, but Rice could factor in heavily should McGahee’s knee fail him and he is sure to be used during the game to take some of the workload off of Willis. A word to the wise, if you draft Mcgahee you better make damn sure to handcuff him with Rice in a later round or you could end up crying if and when Mcgahee goes down with an injury.

3. Ricky Williams-Miami Dolphins

Ricky Williams

Ricky Williams

In my book this guys has been an absolute stud in my annual fantasy pot head draft, but seriously Willimas has looked like a beast during training camp and the preseason and given Ronnie Browns shaky situation he could turn out to be the most productive back on the Dolphins… that may not be saying much but he is defintely worth a pick somewhere after the 9th round. Brown is coming back from a torn ACL an injury which usually takes more than a year to fully recover from and Williams may have finally realized that he’s a 31 year old dude and smoking weed all day doesn’t exactly pay the bills. The main reason I like Williams is that i just don’t like a running back coming back from an ACL tear and though Brown was lighting it up last year until the injury he hasn’t exactly been a stud in the past. Williams has been an excellent fantasy back in the league years ago and he doesn’t have the wear and tear that a running back of his age normally would. Im predicting a pretty nice season for Williams at least worthy of an RB 3 spot.

4. Kenny Watson-Cinncinatti Bengals

Kenny Watson

Kenny Watson

After years of being one of the most consistent and productive fantasy backs Rudi Johnson seems to have hit that dreaded wall that all backs run into at some point in their career. Johnson was injured for a number of games last year paving the way for Watson to take the reigns at RB and steal the show.Even when Johnson was on the field he averaged a dreadful 2.9 YPC. Watson on the other hand averaged 4.3 YPC and ran for 763 yards on 178 carries and scored 7 TD’s. Recently sources have stated that the Bengals are willing to shop Rudi for a “legitimate receiver” which means that they don’t believe he can get it done anymore and that they’re fairly happy with their options at running back. It could end up being a time share with Watson and the oft injured but talented Chris Perry if Johnson does get dealt, either way at the moment Watson actually looks to be the teams best running back and should be worthy of a late 13-15 round pick.

5. Derrick Ward/Ahmad Bradshaw-New York Giants

Sure enough as many people predicted Brandon Jacobs is a beast when he is on the field. The problem is that he never seems to stay on the field for a full season. Jacobs’ upright running style leaves him susceptible to taking a lot of big hits, especially to his lower body. Even if Jacobs does manage to stay healthy for an entire season it is looking more and more like the Giants will use a committee approach at running back. That means that either Derrick Ward or Ahmad Bradshaw will be sharing the workload with Jacobs and could turn out to be nice sleepers picks if Jacobs should go down with an injury.

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The Great Debate: L.T. or A.P. Who Should Go First?

With many fantasy football leagues due to draft within the next few weeks, if not days, there is one dilemma everyone who owns the number one pick is facing, who to take, L.T. or A.P.? For many people this may seem like the easiest question in the world to answer. Do I draft the guy whose played in just 14 NFL games and has some nagging durbaility issues or do i draft the man who may be the greatest fantasy player of all-time?

On the surface it seems like an easy answer, but when you take a deeper look at the dillemma there is defintely some debating that should be done. So let’s take a look at “the great debate” and determine who hsould be the first oplayer taken in this years draft.

A.P. and L.T. who should go first?

A.P. and L.T. who should go first?

Take Tomlinson-

This could be one of the easiest arguments ever made in reference to a fantasy football player. Listen, Tomlinson has been the premiere running back in fantasy football pretty much since he came into the league. So instead of pointing out all of Tomlinsons ridiculous statistics over the years I think we’d all be better served if I exapliend to you why not to pick Adrian Peterson as opposed to why you should pick Tomlinson.

First, A.P. is in a time-share. Yes, despite seemingly erasing the memory of Chester Taylor from the planet Taylor is still in line to carry some of the workload, probably around 120-150 carries. There is no way the Vikings will want to risk overusing such a talent as A.P. especially when you have a more than capable backup to share the workload. Taylor averaged 5.2 YPC last year and it seems likely that Minnesotta will continue to use him as long as he produces at that rate.

Second, and Im sorry to say it folks especially to you Viking fans, but A.P. just cannot seem to staty healthy for a full season. Yes he receovered relatively quickly from the knee injury that sidelined him last season, but he was plagued by injuries throughout his collegiate carrer and the trend seems to be continuing into the pros. L.T. on the other hand has missed just one game in his illustrious career due to injury.

Third, A.P. has Tarvaris JAckson as his Q.B. I don’t know if that is enough said right there, but it should at least raise an eyebrow. Jackson may develop into a good QB someday, but until he does defenses are going to focus on one thing and one thing only…stopping Minnesota’s ground game. Expect to see a lot of teams stacking eight or nine in the box to prevent Peterson from doing what he does best.

Take Peterson-

This may seem like a tough argument to make, but it really isn’t that hard when you consider some of the following factors.

First, L.T. is still the best back in the league but he has shouldered a tremendous amount of work throughout his career. Though Tomlinson is just 29 years old he has more mileage then my 1981 Honda Civic. His 2,365 career carries rank 20th all-time in league history. So far Tomlinson has carried the ball over 300 times in seven straight seasons. The only other running back to accomplish such a feat was Eddie George who averaged a meager 3.3 YPC carry in his eight season of such a workload.

Second, Tomlinson is coming off of the worst injury of his career. Granted by most peoples assesments it is not an injury that should longer and he has participated iv every team event including mini-camps, but knee injuries are tricky and its hard to judge how long on can be plagued by such an injury. The injury was classified as a grade 2 MCL sprain and was significant enough to keep Tomlinson out of a playoff game so it’s definetely something to think about.

Consider this as well, last year Peterson ran for just 133 fewer yards then Tomlinson despite missing two games, being limited in 4 others and starting just 9 games total. Basically, Peterson almost matched L.T.’s production with a bad knee, and 77 fewer carries. Perterson is also in line for an increase in goal line carries next season after receiving just 6 goal line touches all of last year.

Now, Tomlinson seemingly plays for the better team with more offensive weapons, but Phillip Rivers is recovering from a torn ACL, and Antonio Gates has yet to fully recover from the toe injury he suffered in the post season.

The Vikings on the other hand are a team on the rise. The addition of Jared Allen to an already staunch defensive unit should help the Vikings secure more leads and enable them to run the ball with greater frequency. Also, Bernard Berrian and rising star Syndney Rice give so-so QB tarvaris Jackson some quality options at wideout.

The Verdict:

If you are drafting for upside then Peterson is the obvious choice with more of a chance to produce some mind numbing numbers. However, if you want to know exactly what you are going to get then L.T. is your man. Me, I’ve always been a gambler and if I land the number one pick I’m taking A.P. but honestly I wouldn’t mind picking second either.

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Bretty and The Jets

By Matt Valentine

The Favre saga in Green Bay has finally come to an end…allow me a moment to rejoice.

With a late night deal announced around 12:30 AM EST the Favre era in Green Bay officially came to an end and a new chapter will begin in the city that never sleeps.

Favre who is no stranger to the camera, will now find himself paying under the bright lights of Broadway, or more accurately the bright lights of Giants Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.

It must be a stunning upset to Buccaneers fans who thought they were the front runners in the Brett Favre sweepstakes, only to wake and find that the Jets had lured Favre to New York for a conditional draft pick in 2009.

According to NFL.com, the Packers will receive a fourth-round draft pick in 2009. The selection would turn into a third-rounder if Favre plays in 50 percent of the plays this season, a second-rounder if he plays in 70 percent and the Jets make the playoffs, or a first-round pick if he plays in 80 percent and the Jets make it to the Super Bowl.

Favre will most likely have to pass a physical before the trade becomes official, but the more important aspect of the deal is that Favre, who was once seemingly opposed to playing in New York, apparently signed off on the deal.

Favre’s arrival in New York signals the beginning of one era and the end of another, that is the end of the Chad Pennington era. Pennigton who is due to make $6 million will be traded or released by the Jets to make room for Favre who is scheduled to earn $12.7 million in 2008. I feel for Pennington, who was a player that poured his heart and soul into the Jets organization  fighting throw significant arm injuries to return to the team he loved. Yet, there are plenty of teams out there, perhaps the Bucs or Vikings, who could use the services of the weak armed but accurate QB.

The Jets stock has risen on many fronts with what could prove to be one of the best off seasons in the leagues history.  The Jets made significant additions through free agency to shore up some of their most glaring weaknesses. Particularly the addition of Pro Bowl guard Alan Faneca to a young and improving line that contains promising starters Nick Mangold and D’brickashaw Ferguson should provide Favre with plenty of time to air it out.

How long Favre will be a Jet remains to be seen. The Jets have stated that they are taking it year by year and with the way Favre has handled things in the past that’s probably the best way to look at the situation. For now though, the Jets may have just turned themselves into a legitimate playoff contender and could even challenge the Patriots for the top spot in the AFC East.

Now that the move has finally been made, the media can focus on Brett’s moves on the field instead of off the field and I for one am happy as hell. Still, I wonder if the Packers and Favre will ever be able to mend their relationship in the future, considering that just a brief time ago the two were pretty much synonymous with one another.

And while Green Bay fans are probably in a state of deep mourning, or anger depending on how quickly they’re moving through the grieving process, Jets fans are in a deserved state of euphoria.

A euphoria which will only last as long as the Jets and Favre win.

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Favre yet to Report to Training Camp

At this point its even getting old for me to write about, but its been a slow news week as sports go and I might as well go ahead and talk about it anyway. Brett Favre was, get this, nowhere to be found as the the Green Bay Packers opened up training camp just a few days ago. Adding anoher chapter to the ongoing Brett Favre saga that has become annual summer rite of passage.

Favre has yet to fax his letter of reinstatement to comissioner Roger Goodell, in hopes that the Packers will work out some kind of resolution to the saga, most likely a trade.It’s almost sad to think of how badly the situation between Favre and the Packers has deteriorated. Yet, Favre did offer a concession by not showing up at camp at the behest of Packers GM Ted Thompson who requested Favre hold off on filing for reinstatement or showing up at camp for a couple of days so he could attempt to sort things out. If a trade cannot be worked out that would leave the Packers in the uncomforatble situation of having Brett Favre as a backup to Aaron Rodgers. Imagine a team putting Brett Fave on their bench…well, the Packers are fully prepared to do so and are fully supporting Rodgers as their starting QB, despite the fact that he has not started a game in his 3 year NFL career.

Favre and Rodgers in last years training camp.

Favre and Rodgers in last years training camp.

Favre had asked Thompson if he could compete with Rodgers for the starting job,knowing that he could beat him out, but Favre was told that this was not an option. Rodgers has said that he has not allowed the Favre situation to get into his head and has simply stated that its somehing between Favre and the organization and he will stay focused on the things he can control. One things for sure somebody needs to get this situation under control and fast before it implodes in Green Bay’s face and turn a promising season into a dismal one.

Commissioner Roger Goodell may be the one who can make the best out of a bad situation and has been asked to help broker an amicable resolution. The commissioner also said that the Vikings and Favre are still under investigation for tampering after Favre called Minnesota head coach Brad Childress and assitant coach Darrell Bevell. There are a number of teams who would be more then willing to help Green Bay solve the problem and take Favre off their hand.
The most likely candidates being the NY Jets or Tampa Bay Buccaneers who have both expressed an interest in Favre. Jets have been one team that has expressed some serious interest in Favre, but have not commented pubicly about their prusuit of the veteran QB and may not be willing to part with a first round pick the reported asking price of the Packers. The Bucs are also interested in Favre, but Favre has pubicly stated that Tampa is not high on his list of potential teams because he prefers cooler weather.

Either way, if I were the Jets or Bucs there is no way I would deal away a first round pick for a 38 yeard old QB who will most likely retire at the end of the season, or at least threaten retirement and hold you hostage for an off-season of turmoil and pain. So while the Favre saga continues you have to really ask yourself at what price is Brett Favre worth taking? Granted his is one of if not the best QB’s of all-time, he has the stats to prove it, but give away a first round pick, for a player who will most likely only play for one more season and to sacrifice the potential of acquiring a franchise player in the draft for one who most likely be sitting in Mississippi next season is not really a sound decision.

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NFL Training Camp Update

Its the start of NFL training camps around the league and as is the case with most seasons many players find themselves vying for new contracts, holding out or reporting to training camp in undesirable situations. Let’s take a spin around the NFL and see which players are in these situations.

Despite reporting to training camp these players have made it very clear that they are unhappy with their current situation and either would like to force a trade or would like negotiate a new contract.

1. Plaxico Burress- NY Giants

Burress watching Manning from the sidelines at training camp.

Burress watching Manning from the sidelines at training camp.

Since catching the winning touchdown in the Super Bowl and turning in one of the best regular seasons of his career despite playing through numerous injuries Burress has requested a contract re-negotiation more on par with that of the leagues other top wide receivers. Burress has reported to Giants training camp but had yet to participate in any practice sessions citing an ailing ankle as the cause for his refusal to participate. By league standards Burress is underpaid and should be given a new contract only time will tell how GM Jerry Reese will handle the situation, he has shown a fine ability to divert contract issues from becoming a major distraction in the past and will need to make a move soon to avoid alienating the teams star wideout.

2. Chad Johnson-Cincinatti Bengals

Johnson reports to camp

Johnson reports to camp

After a long off season of complaints a situation which seemed to be headed to a point of no return ended without much fanfare as Johnson did report to training camp on time and without complaint. Johnson has continued his practice of refusing to talk to the cities press, but has apologized to fans for possibly alienating them during the offseason with his repeated requests for a trade. Johnson has three years remaining on his contract which was reworked in April 2006. The contract gave Johnson an additional $10.75 million. Johnson has stated that fans can expect him to return to his usual jovial, entertaining self and should not worry about his status with the team.

3. Devin Hester-Chicago Bears

Hester arrives at camp

Hester arrives at camp

The bears All-Pro return man was extremely unhappy with his contract siutation heading into camp and staged what could be the shortest hold out in NFL history. The bears ended up inking the stud returner to a four year deal which is reportedly worth at least $30 million, $15 million of which is guaranteed. The contract also includes some roster bonuses, a $10 million dollar bonus in the final year if Hester reaches performance levels equal to that of a No. 1 receiver. If Hester fails to reach these incentives the bonus “de-escalates to reflect his performance. Signing Hester was a key move for a Chicago team’s whose offense seems more then likely to struggle this season. They need to find a way to insure that Hester can reach that roster bonus because the more he gets his hands on the ball the better off the Bears will be.

4. Steven Jackson- St. Louis Rams

Steven Jackson

Steven Jackson

Somewhat of a shock here as I don’t think many fans expected Jackson to hold out in the final year of his contract. The team has stated that getting Jackson under contract is a priority but, have recently cut off talks with his agent after Jackson refused a contract offer on Friday. The Rams have stated that they will not resume talks with Jackson until he reports to camp. Jackson, in the final season of a five-year contract he signed after the Rams drafted him in the first round in 2004, has had three straight 1,000-yard rushing seasons after totaling 1,002 last year despite injuries that sidelined him for four games. He is the centerpiece of a Rams offense that was decimated last year by injury. With the return of All-Pro tackle Orlando Pace the teams offensive line, its biggest weakness last season, should be much improved providing greater space for Jackson to work his magic.

5. Keith Rivers- Cincinnati Bengals

Rookie Holdout Keith Rivers.

Rookie Holdout Keith Rivers.

The Bengals first round pick (No. 9 overall) has yet to report to camp and is listed as a hold out for missing the teams 1 p.m. check-in deadline on Sunday, July 27. This is a huge set back for the club as Rivers was projected as the teams starter at weakside linebacker after an impressive mini-camp. A Rookie holdout is especially troubling given the fact that they need as many snaps as possible to adjust to the speed of the NFL game as well as digesting a more complex defensive scheme. With most of the first rounders already inked to contracts its some what of a head scratcher as to exactly why Rivers is holding out, but it will be extremely beneficial to the club to get Rivers signed A.S.A.P as they had one of the leagues worst defensive united in 2007.

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2008 Fantasy Football: Sleepers

Continuing on our quest to seek out the best sleepers for your 2008 fantasy football draft let’s take a look at some of the sleepers at the wide receiver position.

1. Anthony Gonzalez- Indianapolis Colts

No one is quite sure at what condition Colts WR Marivin Harrison will return to the team to in 2008. He suffered a knee injury that kept him out for much of last year and opened the door for Gonzalez to develop a nice repoire with QB Peyton Manning. Gonzalez was particularly effective towards the end of the season when teams started to key on the Colts other threats Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark. In the final four games of the 2007 season Gonzalez raked in nearly half of his 37 receptions (16) for 264 yards and 3 touchdowns. Reggie Wayne is clearly Peyton Manning’s favorite target, but defenses will be forced to double Wayne often, and with Marvin Harrison’s status uncertain Gonzalez could easily emerge as Manning’s number two option. I like any player who has Manning throwing him the ball, but I especially like the situation that Gonzalez finds himself in this season, which could turn out to be a breakout year for this young, talented wide receiver. Gonzalez can be had late in drafts, I got him in the 12th round of a ten team league. Don’t jump the gun on Gonzalez and draft him too early, but grabbing him sometime after the 10th round is a pretty safe pick with great upside and value.

2. Dwayne Bowe- Kansas City Chiefs

In his rookie season coach Herm Edwards didn’t give Bowe much time to develop as a wide receiver in the NFL. It didn’t matter though, because Bowe responded with an extremely solid rookie campaign. He caught 70 passes for 995 yards and 5 TD. Think of Bowe as a solid third wide receiver for your fantasy team with tremendous upside. Granted, Bowe doesn’t have the greatest QB throwing him the ball, but he is the number one option at WR for QB Brodie Croyle and should receive a ton of looks in the 2008 season. Take a look at the Chiefs roster and examine their depth at the wide receiver position and you’ll find that Bowe is easily the most talented and one of the most experienced wide receivers on the team. Which does say a lot of things about the Chiefs passing game, but hey, this is fantasy football not real life football and all we care about is individual production. Outside of Tony Gonzalez Bowe is the only legitimate receiving threat on the team. On average Bowe is being taken in the sixth to seventh rounds of most drafts, which is exactly where he should be taken. Don’t reach for Bowe, but if you can pick him up later then the 6th round do it, because he could pay huge dividends for your fantasy squad.

3. Nate Burleson- Seattle Seahawks

For some reason or another Burleson is being completely overlooked as a potential fantasy star. On average he is being drafted in the 12th round, somewhere around the 114-120 pick range. This is somewhat shocking to me as I think fantasy owners are missing out on a player who has major potential and incredible upside. Then again I can’t complain that I have (in my opinion) stolen Burleson in every single draft I’ve had so far with a late round pick. Actually, I love Burleson’s fantasy potential this year and I’m about to tell you why. First, Burleson had a very productive fantasy season last year, he caught 50 passes for 694 yards and 9 TD. Second, take a look at the Seahawks wide receivers and you may notice that Burleson is slated as the number one option, with Bobby Engram as the number two option. Engram is a decent fantasy option as well, but when it comes to the redzone Hasselbeck just seems to look in Burleson’s direction. I expect Burleson to get a TON of looks from QB Matt Hasselbeck this year and more looks means more yards and more touchdowns. Third, his QB is Matt Hasselbeck! Hello? Unless I’m mistaken Hasselbeck has been a pretty damn good QB in this league for quite some time now. Fourth, the Seahawks running game doesn’t appear to be in great shape this year with Julius Jones set to take over the main bulk of the running back duties. Jones didn’t show much in Dallas, which is why he lost his starting role to Marion Barber and I think Seattle’s offensive line is better at pass protection then run blocking anyway. Let everyone in your league take a pass on Burleson while you grab him in the late rounds of your draft and brag about how smart you are.

4. D.J. Hackett- Carolina Panthers

We all know that Steve Smith is the man in Carolina. Yet, defenses have been allowed to double team Smith at will since Mushin Muhammad left and the team failed to fill the void with a legit number two receiver. Muhammad is back, Smith is still there, Dwayne Jarrett is coming in for his second season and Delhomme is finally healthy. This leaves the Panthers with one of the most solid wide receiving corps in the NFL and addition of Hackett in the offseason only helps solidify that notion. All of the prognosticators thought that Hackett would break out last year, perhaps their predictions were just a year off. Defenses will be sure to make eliminating Smith their number one priority and Hackett should benefit from that game plan. It’s hard to say what type of production you can expect from Hackett this coming season, it depends on a number of factors: Will Delhomme stay healthy? Will Dwayne Jarrett emerge into a good second option? What role Will Muhammad play? There’s certainly a number of questions surrounding Hackett’s rise to fantasy stardom, but it’s still worth a late round pick to find out.

5. Reggie Williams- Jacksonville Jaguars

Another guy who is being completely overlooked as a potential fantasy stud in 2008. Williams was easily Garrard’s favorite redzone target last year and I don’t see any reason why that should change. He caught just 38 passes last season but 10 of them went for touchdowns. In the final four games of 2007 Williams scored in every single one of them, a good omen for the future in my opinion. Once again this is fantasy football, and if i can grab a receiver very late in my draft who has the potential to score 10 TD for my team, then I am more then willing to take what minimal risk there is to get him. Touchdowns are what matter , but an increase in yardage for Williams is also a real possibility. If you are going to draft Williams try and target him for somewhere in the 12-13 round range, that would be excellent value for a player with his value and upside.

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On the Clock: NFL Draft Day Top Ten Selections

1. Miami Dolphins: OT Jake Long

A smart pick here by Miami locking up a player who fills a significant need and is considered by most to be a can’t miss prospect. Though he may struggle at the left tackle position in the NFL, he will be an outstanding right tackle for years to come. A team like Miami needs to build from the ground up and starting with your O-line is always a sound decision.

2. St. Louis Rams: DE Chris Long

Long is the proverbial chip off the old block. He has one of the most high powered, relentless motors in the entire draft. It is always a good choice to take a player who you know will play whistle to whistle and that is exactly what the Rams got in Chris Long. He showed improvement throughout his college career taking his sack totals from 1 his Freshmen year to 14 his Senior year. He has strong hands and great quickness and will one day be an elite pass rusher for a team that desperately needed help on the d-line. Long also has the intangibles and will be a leader on and off the field. An extremely solid selection here for the Rams.

3. Atlanta Falcons: QB Matt Ryan

This is possibly a risky pick as some people are not entirely convinced of Ryan’s ability to play at the next level. Consider that the Falcons O-line is not prepared to protect a young quarterback, who will be prone to holding on to the ball too long and take numerous sacks. Ryan does have many of the intangibles that people like to see in their QB’s and is a leader of men both on and off the field. He does have an excellent arm and is a better athletes then most people realize. He has a tendency to throw into coverage far too often resulting in too many interceptions. if Ryan is started immediately he could struggle tremendously, but he does have the character to bounce back from a potentially tough season. A risk but one that could pay huge dividends for the struggling franchise.

4. Oakland Raiders: RB Darren McFadden

Al Davis does it again. Darren McFadden is in my opinion and the opinion of many others the most talented player in the 2008 NFL draft. He has great upper body strength, and is a home-run hitter. He has great moves in open space, tremendous speed, and excellent cutting ability. He joins a somewhat crowded backfield with Justin Fargas, Lamont Jordan and Dominic Rhodes all on Oakland’s roster. This is a smart pick though with a young QB in Jamarcus Russell poised to take over, the Raiders will need great offensive production from their backs to take the pressure off Russell. There are some questions about his ability to run inside, and his off-field issues. Still, I think this was a great choice for a rebuilding Oakland team.

5. Kansas City Chiefs: DT Glenn Dorsey

Dorsey is a powerhouse football player, considered by most to be the best defensive player in all of college football. He has very long arms, is extremely strong, has great burst and explosion and always stays on his feet. The only real issue with him is durability. Dorsey will immediately upgrade the Chiefs defense and will most likely be a Pro Bowl defense tackle in the near future as long as he stays on the field. Like Long Dorsey also has the character and intangible’s that you look for in a leader. It is never a bad idea for a team to select a player who will make an immediate impact and the Chiefs have done exactly that.

6. New York Jets: DE/LB Vernon Gholston

Gholston is the perfect player for the 3-4 defense of the Jets. He has a quick first step, the ability to bull rush and the ability to stand up and rush from the edge. The only question about playing that style defense will be his pass coverage ability. He will also struggle at times to shed blocks. The Jets had one of the worst defenses in the league last year and Gholston will make an immediate impact on the field. Gholston does not have the motor of a Jake Long and will need to prove that he can be consistent from whistle to whistle. All in all, a very solid pick for the NY Jets.

7. New England Patriots: (Patriots acquire 10th overall pick and 3rd round pick)Traded to the New Orleans Saints: DT Sedrick Ellis.

Another smart move by the savvy NE front office to trade down from this pick and stock pile draft picks. The Saints needed to shore up the front seven and made a solid choice here with Sedrick Ellis. He is a strong bull rush type player and can be a stalwart against the rush and pass. He does have some trouble with getting set too high and being thrown off balance by opposing O-linemen. Still, the Saints have a formidable offense and needed to add depth and balance to their defense. Ellis will provide this in spades.

8. Baltimore Ravens:(Baltimore recieves 1st round pick, two 3rd round picks, and a 4th round pick) Traded to Jacksonville Jaguars: DE Derrick Harvey

Derrick Harvey is a Junior that came out early, he is an excellent natural pass rusher and can really set the edge. Going to a team like Jacksonville that already has a solid front 7 will only help his development as he won’t see double teams often. He often shows a good motor, and hustle and will pursue the ball long after the play has passed him by. The only concern is how well groomed will he be having come out of college a year early. The Jags already potent defense just got better with this selection and they can take their time brining Harvey along. A good choice but did they give up to much to get there?
9. Cincinnati Bengals: LB Keith Rivers

Keith Rivers will immediately fill a huge need for a struggling Bengals defense. He is a smart player, with a terrific work ethic, which may mask the fact that is not an off the charts, elite LB. He is also a high character guy which the Bengals could certainly use in their locker room. He has had solid production throughout his college career, and will project well in the Bengals defensive scheme. Not really a wow factor pick here but a solid choice altogether.

10. New England Patriots: LB Jerod Mayo

What can you say about a team that finished 18-1 and still has a top ten draft pick? Well I can say this, I am a little surprised by the pick of Jerod Mayo here. The Pats could have used a CB here with the departures of Gay and Samuel. However, their linebacking corps is getting old and restocking that position was a need this team needed to address but it seems that Mayo was somewhat of a reach here. With that said he is a solid, productive player with good speed to the inside and the ability to cover the edge. In my opinion a reach, especially with the cornerbacks that were still on the board, but never question the New England front office.

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