Posts Tagged Fantasy

Fantasy Football Start Em: Running Backs

Week 7 is fast approaching and for most leagues this marks the halfway point in thir fantasy season. Hopefully by now you’ve solidified your position as one of the league’s strongest GM’s, but even if you haven’t theres still plenty of time to get back into contention. Maybe this list will help you make the best choices in your lineup calls for week 7.

1. Chris Johnson vs. Kansas City

Kansas City is a pretty dismal team right now. Larry Johnson wants to be traded, Tony Gonzalez wanted to be traded and the team has absolutely no shot of being a contender this season. Which is great news if you’re one of the lucky people who own Chris Johnson this week.The K.C. defense surrenders 182.2 rushing yards a game and Johnson has been averaging 90 total yards a game so far this year. Lendale White is suffering from a shoulder injury at the moment which may give Johnson some more goal-line chances. Look for Johnson to have a nice fantasy week this week.

2. Dominic Rhodes vs. Green Bay

Rhodes disappeared off the fantasy radar for a while when he went to Oakland (as most people do). However, hes back in Indy and both Joseph Addai and Mike Hart are sidelined this week with injuries making Rhodes a very serviceable option. The Packers have been struggling with their rush defense allowing 153 yards per game. Rhodes should get plenty of touches and could find the end zone. A nice start here, especially if you’re an Addai owner.

3. Mewelde Moore vs. Cinncinatti

Moore is most likely available in a number of leagues and can be a nice pick up n’ play this week against a struggling Bengals defense. With Willie Parker sidelined for another week due to injury Moore is once again Pittsburgh top rusher. The Bengals rush defense is giving up 156.8 yards per game so Moore has a chance to go off. He gave a solid performance in his first start and should follow it up nicely with this favorable match up.

4. Thomas Jones vs. Oakland

Ah just when you were about to give up on Jones he comes up with a huge performance. Jones scored three times last week (2 rushing, 1 receiving) surpassing his total from all of last season. This week Jones is facing off against an Oakland defense that’s surrendering 115 rushing yards and 1.6 rushing touchdowns per game. With Oakland’s offense unable to muster much production the Jets offense should have plenty of chances to score and Jones could be the primary beneficiary.

5.  Steve Slaton vs. Detroit

At first glance this may not look like the best match up especially considering what Detroit was able to do to Adrian Peterson last week, but Houston has a much better QB then Minnesota and Schaub should open up the field with his ability to throw the long ball to Andre Johnson. With a deep passing threat established Slaton could find plenty of open holes and could have a nice fantasy day.

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Fantasy Football Start em: Quarterback

By Matt Valentine

Week six is approaching and if your fantasy team isn’t looking good thus far you still have plenty of time to get back into playoff contention. With that said, let’s take a look at some week 6 match ups that should be beneficial to fantasy quarterbacks.

1.  Kyle Orton- Chicago Bears

Wow,what a difference a year makes. The Chicago Bears easily had one of the NFL’s most dismal passing attacks last season but all that has changed with Kyle Orton under center. Orton has tossed multiple TD’s n his last two games and should do the same this week against the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are surrendering 222 yards and 1.8 passing touchdowns per game. Now that the Bears are finally beginning to utilize the speedy Devin Hester in their passing attack Orton could end up being one of this weeks best fantasy options.

2. Jason Campbell- Washington Redskins

Campbell is QB on the rise. He has posted back to back wins on the road against division rivals, the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys. Now he gets to go up against one of the worst teams in the NFl in the St. Louis Rams whose passing defense ranks 28th in the league allowing 245.8 yards and 2 TD’s per game. Campbell finally looks comfortable in coach Jim Zorn’s offense and with a number of nice options including Santana Moss and Chris Cooley  he should have an explosive day against the woeful rams.

3. Kurt Warner- Arizona Cardinals

Warner came off another nice fantasy performance against the Buffalo Bills last Sunday and looks to return with another strong performance agaisnt a banged up Dallas secondary at home this week.  Terrence Newman is out, Roy Williams is most likely out, and the Dallas pass rush has been very inconsistent thus far this year. Thats all good news for Warner who should post his fourth straight multiple touchdown game in what should be a shootout in the desert.

4.  Brett Favre- New York Jets

After posting a career high 6 TD’s against the Cardinals in his last game Favre and the Jets hope to continue the trend in this weeks game against the Bengals. If you look at the numbers it doesn’t look like a good match up for Favre with Cincy’s D ranking 6th in the league in passing defense. That is a more then deceptive number becuase everyone just dominates Cincy’s D on the ground instead of through the air. The Jets have yet to establish their ground game this year and Favre has had an extra week to heal and work on his timing with his receivers, that should bode well for a strong fanatsy day.

5- Eli Manning- New York Giants

Make no mistake about it the Giants are the nest all around team in the NFL right now. Thanks in large part to their consistent ground game Eli has had ample time to pick opposing secondary’s apart this season and has the Giants passing attacked ranked 6th in the NFL. The Giants face off against the dissapointing Cleveland Browns who have a weak secondary and have yet to play well on either side of the ball. Consider also that Plaxico is back from his one game suspension and that the Giants have one of the deepest receiving corps in the league with the likes of Steve Smith, Amani Toomer, Sinorice Moss, Mario Manningham and last weeks fantasy darling Dominick Hixon and the Browns secondary shouldn’t stand a chance.

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Fantasy Football Week Two QB Review

As week two of fantasy football comes to a close there have been a number of surprises and disappointments at the QB position so far this season. Let’s take a look back at some of the best week 2 performances from the NFL’s Quarterbacks.

1. Jay Cutler-Denver Broncos

Jay Cutler is emerging as a true fantasy star this season and Denver (and my fantasy team) are all the better for it. In the last two weeks Cutler has faced what were supposed to be some staunch passing defenses in Oakland and San Diego and has absolutely torched them to the tune of a combined 650 yards, 6 TD and 1 pick. Cutler was dominant in the first half against San Diego tossing three touchdown passes, he had some trouble moving the ball in the third quarter but came back to toss a 4th TD pass in the closing moments of the game and followed it up with a 2pt conversion (both to WR Eddie Royal) sealing a 39-38win over the Chargers.  At this pace Cutler could emerge as a top 5 fantasy QB by years end, I for one am keeping my fingers crossed.

2. Phillip Rivers- Sand Diego Chargers

Though he was outplayed by Cutler, Rivers more then held his own in this week two shootout, especially considering L.T. was sidelined for most of the game with a toe-injury. Rivers threw for 377 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT. He connected with Chris Chambers on on two TD strikes and got a nice assist from Darren Sproles on a check-down that Sproles took to the house. Rivers and the Chargers offense once again got off to a slow start, but heated up in the second half only to lose the game in the final moments. Right now Rivers looks like a solid play week to week.

3. Kurt Warner- Arizona Cardinals

Kurt put a big hurting on the Dolphins defense in week two making them look like fish out of water. He connected on 19 of 24 passes for 361 yards and 3 TD. For the second straight game Warner didn’t committ a turnover and he has clearly cemented himself in the starting role for the time being. I guess Leinart can go back to partying his ass off because if Warner keeps playing like this there’s no chance he’s going to see the field so he might as well go back to doing what he does best. He has another decent matchup against Washington next week and should be in your starting lineup as long as he’s the Cardinals starting QB.

4. Aaron Rodgers- Green Bay Packers

Brett Who? Thats probably what most Packers fans are saying after watching Rodgers the last two weeks, especially if they caught any of the Jets-Pats game. Rodgers has stepped in and led the Green Bay offense to two straight victories and although he played against a terrible Lions defense he is proving himself as a solid fantasy starter week to week, though next week he faces a much stiffer test in the Cowboys D so you may want to look elsewhere. Rodgers threw for 328 yards and 3 TD’s and has a great connection with last years breakout player Greg Jennings who racked up 167 yards receiving. If Rodgers continues his play people like me won’t even have to mention Favre and Rodgers in the same sentence again.

5. Eli Manning- NY Giants

Eli has never really been a fantasy stud, but he certainly looked like one on Sunday. He torched a woeful Rams secondary to the tune of 260 yards and 3 TD’s in leading the Giants to a 41-13 rout. Ever since his Super Bowl run Manning has the type of confidence you want to see in a QB and has demonstrated it on the field. The Giants play a fairly favorable schedule for the next few weeks with Cincinnati, Seattle, Cleveland, and San Francisco on the slate and Eli should be considered a starter for all of thos games if you have him on your roster.

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Fantasy Football 2008 Running Back Sleepers

1.) Chris Johnson- Tennessee Titants

Chris Johnson

Chris Johnson

Chris Johnson has been displaying some tremendous skills in the preseason so far and his ridiculous speed (4.24, 40) gives him that home run ability we all like. Also, consider that the Titans ran the ball more than any other team in the league last year and that the only thing standing in his way is the hefty Lendale White. White is like the Jared Lorenzen of running backs only much more talented. Johnson will see the field often as the lightning to White’s thunder and tho he may not get the ball at the goal line, the Titans are going to find ways to get him out into open space and that bodes well for a nice fantasy sleeper. Johnson is going somewhere in the 12-15 round range and with his tremendous upside he could turn out to be the best “sleeper” out there.

2. Ray Rice-Blatimore Ravens

Ray Rice

Ray Rice

Given the status of McGahee’s balky knee, the fact that he came into camp overweight and out of shape, and the fact that Rice has been performing more then admirably when given his chances with the first team offense this preseason and you have the makings of a nice fantasy sleeper. Despite Rice’s fantastic preseason the Ravens have continued to state that McGahee will be the starting running back when the season opens, but Rice could factor in heavily should McGahee’s knee fail him and he is sure to be used during the game to take some of the workload off of Willis. A word to the wise, if you draft Mcgahee you better make damn sure to handcuff him with Rice in a later round or you could end up crying if and when Mcgahee goes down with an injury.

3. Ricky Williams-Miami Dolphins

Ricky Williams

Ricky Williams

In my book this guys has been an absolute stud in my annual fantasy pot head draft, but seriously Willimas has looked like a beast during training camp and the preseason and given Ronnie Browns shaky situation he could turn out to be the most productive back on the Dolphins… that may not be saying much but he is defintely worth a pick somewhere after the 9th round. Brown is coming back from a torn ACL an injury which usually takes more than a year to fully recover from and Williams may have finally realized that he’s a 31 year old dude and smoking weed all day doesn’t exactly pay the bills. The main reason I like Williams is that i just don’t like a running back coming back from an ACL tear and though Brown was lighting it up last year until the injury he hasn’t exactly been a stud in the past. Williams has been an excellent fantasy back in the league years ago and he doesn’t have the wear and tear that a running back of his age normally would. Im predicting a pretty nice season for Williams at least worthy of an RB 3 spot.

4. Kenny Watson-Cinncinatti Bengals

Kenny Watson

Kenny Watson

After years of being one of the most consistent and productive fantasy backs Rudi Johnson seems to have hit that dreaded wall that all backs run into at some point in their career. Johnson was injured for a number of games last year paving the way for Watson to take the reigns at RB and steal the show.Even when Johnson was on the field he averaged a dreadful 2.9 YPC. Watson on the other hand averaged 4.3 YPC and ran for 763 yards on 178 carries and scored 7 TD’s. Recently sources have stated that the Bengals are willing to shop Rudi for a “legitimate receiver” which means that they don’t believe he can get it done anymore and that they’re fairly happy with their options at running back. It could end up being a time share with Watson and the oft injured but talented Chris Perry if Johnson does get dealt, either way at the moment Watson actually looks to be the teams best running back and should be worthy of a late 13-15 round pick.

5. Derrick Ward/Ahmad Bradshaw-New York Giants

Sure enough as many people predicted Brandon Jacobs is a beast when he is on the field. The problem is that he never seems to stay on the field for a full season. Jacobs’ upright running style leaves him susceptible to taking a lot of big hits, especially to his lower body. Even if Jacobs does manage to stay healthy for an entire season it is looking more and more like the Giants will use a committee approach at running back. That means that either Derrick Ward or Ahmad Bradshaw will be sharing the workload with Jacobs and could turn out to be nice sleepers picks if Jacobs should go down with an injury.

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The Great Debate: L.T. or A.P. Who Should Go First?

With many fantasy football leagues due to draft within the next few weeks, if not days, there is one dilemma everyone who owns the number one pick is facing, who to take, L.T. or A.P.? For many people this may seem like the easiest question in the world to answer. Do I draft the guy whose played in just 14 NFL games and has some nagging durbaility issues or do i draft the man who may be the greatest fantasy player of all-time?

On the surface it seems like an easy answer, but when you take a deeper look at the dillemma there is defintely some debating that should be done. So let’s take a look at “the great debate” and determine who hsould be the first oplayer taken in this years draft.

A.P. and L.T. who should go first?

A.P. and L.T. who should go first?

Take Tomlinson-

This could be one of the easiest arguments ever made in reference to a fantasy football player. Listen, Tomlinson has been the premiere running back in fantasy football pretty much since he came into the league. So instead of pointing out all of Tomlinsons ridiculous statistics over the years I think we’d all be better served if I exapliend to you why not to pick Adrian Peterson as opposed to why you should pick Tomlinson.

First, A.P. is in a time-share. Yes, despite seemingly erasing the memory of Chester Taylor from the planet Taylor is still in line to carry some of the workload, probably around 120-150 carries. There is no way the Vikings will want to risk overusing such a talent as A.P. especially when you have a more than capable backup to share the workload. Taylor averaged 5.2 YPC last year and it seems likely that Minnesotta will continue to use him as long as he produces at that rate.

Second, and Im sorry to say it folks especially to you Viking fans, but A.P. just cannot seem to staty healthy for a full season. Yes he receovered relatively quickly from the knee injury that sidelined him last season, but he was plagued by injuries throughout his collegiate carrer and the trend seems to be continuing into the pros. L.T. on the other hand has missed just one game in his illustrious career due to injury.

Third, A.P. has Tarvaris JAckson as his Q.B. I don’t know if that is enough said right there, but it should at least raise an eyebrow. Jackson may develop into a good QB someday, but until he does defenses are going to focus on one thing and one thing only…stopping Minnesota’s ground game. Expect to see a lot of teams stacking eight or nine in the box to prevent Peterson from doing what he does best.

Take Peterson-

This may seem like a tough argument to make, but it really isn’t that hard when you consider some of the following factors.

First, L.T. is still the best back in the league but he has shouldered a tremendous amount of work throughout his career. Though Tomlinson is just 29 years old he has more mileage then my 1981 Honda Civic. His 2,365 career carries rank 20th all-time in league history. So far Tomlinson has carried the ball over 300 times in seven straight seasons. The only other running back to accomplish such a feat was Eddie George who averaged a meager 3.3 YPC carry in his eight season of such a workload.

Second, Tomlinson is coming off of the worst injury of his career. Granted by most peoples assesments it is not an injury that should longer and he has participated iv every team event including mini-camps, but knee injuries are tricky and its hard to judge how long on can be plagued by such an injury. The injury was classified as a grade 2 MCL sprain and was significant enough to keep Tomlinson out of a playoff game so it’s definetely something to think about.

Consider this as well, last year Peterson ran for just 133 fewer yards then Tomlinson despite missing two games, being limited in 4 others and starting just 9 games total. Basically, Peterson almost matched L.T.’s production with a bad knee, and 77 fewer carries. Perterson is also in line for an increase in goal line carries next season after receiving just 6 goal line touches all of last year.

Now, Tomlinson seemingly plays for the better team with more offensive weapons, but Phillip Rivers is recovering from a torn ACL, and Antonio Gates has yet to fully recover from the toe injury he suffered in the post season.

The Vikings on the other hand are a team on the rise. The addition of Jared Allen to an already staunch defensive unit should help the Vikings secure more leads and enable them to run the ball with greater frequency. Also, Bernard Berrian and rising star Syndney Rice give so-so QB tarvaris Jackson some quality options at wideout.

The Verdict:

If you are drafting for upside then Peterson is the obvious choice with more of a chance to produce some mind numbing numbers. However, if you want to know exactly what you are going to get then L.T. is your man. Me, I’ve always been a gambler and if I land the number one pick I’m taking A.P. but honestly I wouldn’t mind picking second either.

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2008 Fantasy Football: Sleepers

Continuing on our quest to seek out the best sleepers for your 2008 fantasy football draft let’s take a look at some of the sleepers at the wide receiver position.

1. Anthony Gonzalez- Indianapolis Colts

No one is quite sure at what condition Colts WR Marivin Harrison will return to the team to in 2008. He suffered a knee injury that kept him out for much of last year and opened the door for Gonzalez to develop a nice repoire with QB Peyton Manning. Gonzalez was particularly effective towards the end of the season when teams started to key on the Colts other threats Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark. In the final four games of the 2007 season Gonzalez raked in nearly half of his 37 receptions (16) for 264 yards and 3 touchdowns. Reggie Wayne is clearly Peyton Manning’s favorite target, but defenses will be forced to double Wayne often, and with Marvin Harrison’s status uncertain Gonzalez could easily emerge as Manning’s number two option. I like any player who has Manning throwing him the ball, but I especially like the situation that Gonzalez finds himself in this season, which could turn out to be a breakout year for this young, talented wide receiver. Gonzalez can be had late in drafts, I got him in the 12th round of a ten team league. Don’t jump the gun on Gonzalez and draft him too early, but grabbing him sometime after the 10th round is a pretty safe pick with great upside and value.

2. Dwayne Bowe- Kansas City Chiefs

In his rookie season coach Herm Edwards didn’t give Bowe much time to develop as a wide receiver in the NFL. It didn’t matter though, because Bowe responded with an extremely solid rookie campaign. He caught 70 passes for 995 yards and 5 TD. Think of Bowe as a solid third wide receiver for your fantasy team with tremendous upside. Granted, Bowe doesn’t have the greatest QB throwing him the ball, but he is the number one option at WR for QB Brodie Croyle and should receive a ton of looks in the 2008 season. Take a look at the Chiefs roster and examine their depth at the wide receiver position and you’ll find that Bowe is easily the most talented and one of the most experienced wide receivers on the team. Which does say a lot of things about the Chiefs passing game, but hey, this is fantasy football not real life football and all we care about is individual production. Outside of Tony Gonzalez Bowe is the only legitimate receiving threat on the team. On average Bowe is being taken in the sixth to seventh rounds of most drafts, which is exactly where he should be taken. Don’t reach for Bowe, but if you can pick him up later then the 6th round do it, because he could pay huge dividends for your fantasy squad.

3. Nate Burleson- Seattle Seahawks

For some reason or another Burleson is being completely overlooked as a potential fantasy star. On average he is being drafted in the 12th round, somewhere around the 114-120 pick range. This is somewhat shocking to me as I think fantasy owners are missing out on a player who has major potential and incredible upside. Then again I can’t complain that I have (in my opinion) stolen Burleson in every single draft I’ve had so far with a late round pick. Actually, I love Burleson’s fantasy potential this year and I’m about to tell you why. First, Burleson had a very productive fantasy season last year, he caught 50 passes for 694 yards and 9 TD. Second, take a look at the Seahawks wide receivers and you may notice that Burleson is slated as the number one option, with Bobby Engram as the number two option. Engram is a decent fantasy option as well, but when it comes to the redzone Hasselbeck just seems to look in Burleson’s direction. I expect Burleson to get a TON of looks from QB Matt Hasselbeck this year and more looks means more yards and more touchdowns. Third, his QB is Matt Hasselbeck! Hello? Unless I’m mistaken Hasselbeck has been a pretty damn good QB in this league for quite some time now. Fourth, the Seahawks running game doesn’t appear to be in great shape this year with Julius Jones set to take over the main bulk of the running back duties. Jones didn’t show much in Dallas, which is why he lost his starting role to Marion Barber and I think Seattle’s offensive line is better at pass protection then run blocking anyway. Let everyone in your league take a pass on Burleson while you grab him in the late rounds of your draft and brag about how smart you are.

4. D.J. Hackett- Carolina Panthers

We all know that Steve Smith is the man in Carolina. Yet, defenses have been allowed to double team Smith at will since Mushin Muhammad left and the team failed to fill the void with a legit number two receiver. Muhammad is back, Smith is still there, Dwayne Jarrett is coming in for his second season and Delhomme is finally healthy. This leaves the Panthers with one of the most solid wide receiving corps in the NFL and addition of Hackett in the offseason only helps solidify that notion. All of the prognosticators thought that Hackett would break out last year, perhaps their predictions were just a year off. Defenses will be sure to make eliminating Smith their number one priority and Hackett should benefit from that game plan. It’s hard to say what type of production you can expect from Hackett this coming season, it depends on a number of factors: Will Delhomme stay healthy? Will Dwayne Jarrett emerge into a good second option? What role Will Muhammad play? There’s certainly a number of questions surrounding Hackett’s rise to fantasy stardom, but it’s still worth a late round pick to find out.

5. Reggie Williams- Jacksonville Jaguars

Another guy who is being completely overlooked as a potential fantasy stud in 2008. Williams was easily Garrard’s favorite redzone target last year and I don’t see any reason why that should change. He caught just 38 passes last season but 10 of them went for touchdowns. In the final four games of 2007 Williams scored in every single one of them, a good omen for the future in my opinion. Once again this is fantasy football, and if i can grab a receiver very late in my draft who has the potential to score 10 TD for my team, then I am more then willing to take what minimal risk there is to get him. Touchdowns are what matter , but an increase in yardage for Williams is also a real possibility. If you are going to draft Williams try and target him for somewhere in the 12-13 round range, that would be excellent value for a player with his value and upside.

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2008 Fantasy Football: Sleepers

By Matt Valentine

How do you define a fantasy football sleeper? I like to take a couple of factors into account.

First, they should not be ranked highly on anyone’s draft board. Hence the term sleeper. These are late round picks who you think have a chance to produce.

Second, and perhaps the most important factor is opportunity. A player may find himself in a better situation then last season, or may just be an injury away from acquiring a starting role, these are players you want to keep an eye on.

Third, and the most ambiguous of all my factors, is a hunch. You may just feel like a guy is due for a breakout season (think Braylon Edwards, Brandon Marshall from the 2007 campaign) late round picks are used for reserve players, feel free to take a chance on a guy you feel is going to have a big season. Even if he doesn’t, toss him to the waiver wire and grab someone else, no harm done. Playing a hunch actually earned me a fantasy football championship when I selected little known running back Frank Gore prior to the 2006 season very, very late in my draft. All he ended up doing was rushing for 1,695 yards and 8 TD and was a major reason I won the league.

Now that we know what my factors are for picking a sleeper (you can insert your own factors as you please) let’s take a look at some of my favorite sleepers for your 2008 fantasy football draft.

Running Back Sleepers (In no particular order):

1. Rashard Mendenhall-Pittsburgh Steelers

I’m not too high on Willie Parker, and apparently neither are the Steelers. That would explain why they drafted Mendenhall with their first round pick. Parker can’t seem to get it done in the redzone scoring just twice last season and despite ranking 6th in the league in rushing yards he had the worst YPC (4.1) of his career. A platoon seems likely in the Steel City this season and the primary beneficiary of that platoon should be Mendenhall, who is a bigger, stronger, and more between the tackles runner then Parker. If Mendenhall stays healthy (he had hamstring issues in mini-camp) he should secure the goal-line duties in Pittsburgh and may find himself splitting carries with Parker at some point during the season. Easily worth a late round flier in any league.

2. Steve Slaton- Houston Texans

A deep, deep sleeper here, but one who has landed in a situation that should provide plenty of opportunity (notice the key phrase). Slaton possesses blazing , breakaway speed and is known for his playmaking ability. The only two people standing in Slaton’s way are the injury prone Ahman Green and the unimpressive Chris Brown. Durability may be an issue for Slaton especially at the NFL so it is something to keep in mind. I don’t know if I would use a draft pick on Slaton, but he is definitely worth keeping an eye on in 2008. If Green goes down with an injury I’d pluck Slaton off the waiver wire as fast as possible.

3. Kevin Smith- Detroit Lions

Smith was a workhorse in college at Central Florida and had a more then impressive seasons last year rushing for 2,500 yards and 29 TD. He finds himself on a Detroit team that could use a big time runner in a big way. Have you seen Tatum Bell play? Because I have and it is nothing to write home about. Kevin Jones on the other hand has never been able to keep himself on the field and still managed 8 TD last season, imagine what a running back with Smith’s talent could do if given the same chance as Jones. Smith could end up being the best sleeper selection in all of fantasy football and could turn into a solid RB2 option if he earns the starting job. Don’t hesitate to use a late round pick on this sleeper.

4. Michael Turner- Atlanta Falcons

Turner has finally been given the chance to step out from Tomlinson’s shadow and prove that he can be an elite back in the NFL. Turner hasn’t had many carries in the league, but he’s gotten the most out of every single one. In 228 career touches he’s rushed for 1257 yards for a 5.5 YPC average and 6 TD, thats a solid fantasy season for an RB 2/3. Turner also plays on a team with rookie QB Matt Ryan meaning that the Falcons will have to lean heavily on their running game until Ryan gets up to speed with playing at the NFL level. I like the situation, I love the opportunity and given where I’ve seen Turner go in drafts (around the 10th round in a 10 man league) I like his place on people’s draft boards…all very good things.

5. Matt Forte- Chicago Bears

Forte finds himself as the Bears first option at the running back position after Cedric Benson was waived by the team for another run in with the law. Forte has the tools to be an excellent back in the league, as he demonstrated throughout his college career and at the NFL Combine where he was a top performer in the 40 yard dash, 3-cone drill, 20 and 60 yard shuttle. Coach Lovie Smith told the press that the team has no intentions of pursuing a veteran running back to challenge Forte for the starting role, solidifying his position as the go-to-guy on the team. This should put Forte in line for about 300 carries in 2008 and I like any starting RB that I can get late in a draft that will touch the ball 300 times. Take a chance on Forte and he may pay off big.

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2008 Fantasy Football: Top 10 Wide Receivers

By Matt Valentine

Fantasy football championships are earned by drafting a balanced team and after running back there is no position that has a greater impact then wide receiver. Sure, you may be thinking that hey, isn’t quarterback an important position too? Well yes it is, but this isn’t real life football, this is fantasy football! You have to realize that outside of Tom Brady, Peyton Manning and Tony Romo the drop off at the QB position is nowhere near as severe as it is at the WR position. Grabbing an elite wide receiver early in your draft is key to having a successful fantasy football season. So let’s take a look at who are the elite fantasy football wide receivers.

1. Randy Moss- New England Patriots

It’s funny to think that just 2 years ago Randy Moss was being written off and declared dead as a dominant wide receiver in the NFL. The move to Oakland literally seemed to suck Moss into a black hole, and it wasn’t the one near the Raiders endzone. The savvy New England font office pulled off a spectacular trade and nabbed Moss for a 4th round draft pick, a trade that should go down as one of the best and worst in the history of the sport. The Randy ratio which virtually disappeared in Oakland was back in effect in New England and it paid huge dividends for owners who drafted Moss last season. Moss broke an NFL record held by Jerry Rice, hauling in 98 passes, 23 for touchdowns, and amassing 1493 yards, the second highest total of his career. He was easily fantasy’s number one wide receiver and in most leagues was probably in the top 3-5 in fantasy scoring. If you exclude the years he spent suffering in the black hole that was Oaklands passing game Moss is a consistent double digit TD threat and has always exceeded 1200 yards receiving. Its doubtful that Brady or Moss will match the monster numbers they put up last season, I mean you just can’t expect that type of production in back to back seasons. Though a dropoff is entirely expected it won’t be a massive one, and Moss should still be the number one wide receiver taken in every draft.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1400 Yds. Rec. 17 TD

2. Terrell Owens- Dallas Cowboys

Love him or hate him, you can’t deny the fact that if T.O. is on the board when its your turn to pick you’re going to take him, unless you’re the most die-hard Eagles fan…ever. T.O. is a consistent performer, even though he is entering what is most likely the latter stages of his illustrious, though sometimes embarrassing career. His established a great connection with Tony Romo so much so that he will literally cry if you say nasty things about his man-crush “teammate” Romo. I bet Jessica Simpson has never even cried that hard over their relationship. Anyway, T.O. is the type of talent that can make you cry tears of joy watching him rack up points for your fantasy team. He put up a more then solid effort last year accumulating 1355 yards and 13 TD. The same type of production is well within reach for the Romo- Owens love connection so draft him if you can.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1400 Yds. Rec. 14 TD

3. Braylon Edwards- Cleveland Browns

Speaking of man-crushes, I have to admit I have a huge man-crush on Edwards for this coming season. It is no coincidence that Edwards finally broke out as a fantasy stud in his third year, with Derek Anderson taking the reigns at QB. Edwards finally has someone who can throw him the ball, and he’s got a great young offensive line to make sure that the Browns QB will finally spend less time on his back then Paris Hilton. It truly was a breakout year for Edwards last season, he ranked second in the league in receiving TD’s with 16 and put up 1289 yards. With the acquisition of Donte Stallworth in the off-season the Browns have two deep threats and one of the most solid receiving corps in the league. Stallworth should draw some attention away from Edwards and force defenses out of consistent double teams. Edwards could put up some huge numbers this season if all goes well, and I think he will.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1300 Yds. Rec. 16 TD

4. Reggie Wayne- Indianapolis Colts

Wayne had to shoulder a lot of the workload last season when Marvin Harrison went down with a knee injury and he proved himself more than worthy of the task. He lead the NFL in receiving yards with 1510 and caught 10 TD’s. He is now firmly set to be the number one guy in Indy which is never a bad thing for fantasy production. Having Peyton Manning throwing you the ball doesn’t really hurt that much either. No one knows how much the injury will effect Harrison, but either way you have to expect that he won’t be the same guy especially considering his age. That leaves Wayne as the top dog in this high powered passing attack and means good things for fantasy owners who draft him.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1500 Yds. Rec. 13 TD

5. Andre Johnson- Houston Texans

Johnson started out the 2007 NFL season as the best wide receiver not named Randy Moss, until he was sidelined with an injury that allowed him to play just 9 games. If you look at Johnson’s career up to this point you won’t see stellar numbers, but you have to consider the circumstances he played under. He had a terrible O-line, a terrible QB, no real running back threat and a No. 2 WR that drew about as much attention as I’d get standing next to George Clooney. With QB Matt Schaub in place for his second year running the offense and with Johnson expected to return at 100% he should put up some huge numbers. Look at what he did in the 9 games he played last year, 851 yards receiving and 8 TD (a career high), if you double that you have one hell of a fantasy football season. He may also fly under some people’s radar who only look at stats during a draft, make sure you’re not that guy.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1300 Yds. Rec. 12 TD

6. Larry Fitzgerald- Arizona Cardinals

Fitzgerald just inked a moster deal with the Cardinals so maybe the incentive to play as hard isn’t there, but I doubt that from this guy. He doesn’t have ideal speed for a wide receiver, but that has hardly slowed him down. He knows how to use his size and leaping ability to his advantage, especially in the redzone and puts up good numbers no matter who is throwing him the ball. Matt Leinart should assume the full workload as Quarterback and has shown flashes that he should develop into the QB many thought he would be. With Anquan Boldin still manning the opposite side defenses will have a hard time deciding which guy to double up on. Fitzgerald went for 1409 yards and 10 TD last year he should be able to match or surpass those totals.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1400 Yds. Rec. 11 TD

7. T.J. Houshmandzadeh- Cincinnati Bengals

It took me an hour just to spell his last name, but I don’t need a dictionary to tell me how good this guy is on the field. I’ve ranked him higher then his counterpart Johnson because he hasn’t been whining at all during the off-season and Johnson seems a step away form packing it in and moving on from Cincinnati. A lousy running game and a lousy defense means that Cincy should be airing the ball out quite often. Look at his career and T.J. has done nothing but get better and better and better. Every single season he has upped his yardage and his TD totals and with Ocho Cinco still in turmoil the sky could be the limit for T.J. in 2008. Last year he pulled in 112 catches for 1143 yards and 12 TD. Depending on what Chad decides to do and how that situation plays itself out he could be in line for a nice bump in yards and TDs.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1200 Yds. Rec. 13 TD

8. Chad Johnson- Cincinnati Bengals

I may catch some flak for rating him below his teammate T.J., but I just don’t like the way things are playing out in Cincy at the moment. It was encouraging to hear that Johnson did report to mandatory mini-camp and participated in practice. He did have minor ankle surgery recently, but he is expected to be fully healed in time for training camp on July 27. Chad’s career best 1440 receiving yards placed him third in the NFL and he managed to haul in 8 TD passes. Honestly though, the whole contract/trade situation aside, I think Chad is slightly overrated as fantasy wide receivers go. He’s posted double digit touchdown totals just once in his career (10) and while he does rack up some nice yardage totals TDs win fantasy football championships. That’s why I’d take T.J. over Chad any day of the week. Yet, if all you want is a damn good, consistent fantasy wide receiver then Chad is always a solid option.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1350 Yds. Rec. 8 TD

9.Marques Colston- New Orleans Saints

Colston started out last season very slowly which may have cost owners a chance to make their leagues playoffs. However, if you weathered that storm and continued to use Colston in the second half of the season he paid off in a big way. In fact, his production came at a time when most leagues were entering their playoffs which makes Colston a clutch fantasy performer. In the two years since he was drafted by the Saints in the 7th round Colston has outperformed everyones expectations. Last year he posted 1202 yards and 11 TD and has easily become Drew Brees’ favorite target. I like the Brees-Colston connection and expect that they should continue to grow together in Sean Payton’s complicated but effective offense.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1200 Yds. Rec. 12 TD

10. Plaxico Burress- New York Giants

Plax is not happy with Giants and they way they have treated his contract negotiations. He has refused to participate in mini-camp and is threatening to hold out of training camp if the situation is not resolved. Still, no QB/ WR tandem has connected for more touchdowns in their time together then Burress and Manning and Plaxico has had some good down time to heal from the injuries that plagued him throughout the 2007 season. Plaxico caught 70 passes for 1025 yards and 12 TD last year a career best for TD totals and a pleasure for fantasy owners to watch. He is Eli Manning’s go-to-guy and with the way Eli played during the Giants run to the Super Bowl that is good news for owners willing to draft Burress over other wide receivers. The Giants strong rushing game makes it impossible for teams to concentrate their efforts on Burress and with Amani Toomer, Jeremy Shockey, and Steve Smith available as weapons at Manning’s disposal Burress should have plenty of room to operate.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1200 Yds. Rec. 13 TD

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Fantasy Football Preview: Top 10 RB

Top 10 Running Backs

1. Ladanian Tomlinson -San Diego Chargers

Tomlinson is the most consistent fantasy performer and has been since he broke into the league in 2001. He has never posted less then double digit touchdown figures and never run for less then 1200 yards in a season. Tomlinson’s abilities are not limited to just pounding the ball, he also has great hands out of the backfield and will throw the occasional TD pass. He plays on a potent offense that will only get better if Phillip Rivers continues to progress into a solid young quarterback. Antonio Gates helps to open up room for Tomlinson because he can stretch a defense down the field. Also, consider that this will be Chris Chambers’ first full year of full integration into the offense and that could open up even more room for Tomlinson. On the downside the numerous offensive weapons at Phillip Rivers disposal may take away a few red zone touches for Tomlinson, but he is still the go to guy when the team nears the end zone.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1500 Yds Rushing 15 TD , 400 Yds Receiving, 3 TD, 2 TD Passes.

2. Adrian Peterson- Minnesota Vikings

A.P. burst onto the NFL scene last year with his explosive rookie campaign. In just 14 games A.P. racked up 1351 rushing yards, and 12 TD’s. He also had 19 receptions for 268 yds, and 1 TD. He averaged an awe inspiring 5.6 YPC, and did all this while playing with an injured knee. If he can stay healthy for an entire season (which has been a concern) he could easily end up being the number one fantasy RB, even exceeding my number one pick Tomlinson. A.P. has set the bar high for himself, declaring that he wants 2,000 yds and 20 TD’s and he has the talent to do it. The problem is his supporting staff. Minnesota’s O-line is solid and will provide A.P. with plenty of holes to slash through, but the talent at their other skill positions is lacking. The addition of Bernard Berrian in the off-season should help a feeble passing game, especially if Sydney Rice continues to progress. However, Tarvaris Jackson has yet to prove himself as a reliable QB and their backup QB’s don’t really inspire much hope. On the upside of things Minnesota’s unreliable passing attack will force them to dish the ball to Peterson alot, and every time he touches the ball he’s a threat to take it to the house. Though I ranked Tomlinson higher because he plays for a better team and has been a consistent performer I’m still expecting big numbers from Peterson.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1600 Yds Rushing 15 TD, 300 Yds Rec, 3 TD.

3. Brian Westbrook- Philadelphia Eagles

B-West as I like to call him, (plus its easier to type) is the best all around threat outside of L.T. He racks up receiving yards, and piles up the rushing yards too. Since he became the featured back in ‘06 he’s posted some monster yardage totals and eclispsed double digit TD totals each year when you combine his rushing and receiving TD’s. B-West is the total package. He catches the ball like no other RB in the league coming out of the backfield. He piled up 90 receptions last year alone and racked up 771 receiving yards. Oh yeah he also runs the ball really well too. He put up 1333 rushing yards and 7 TD’s last year. In a point per reception league I would consider taking him as my first RB. The Eagles have a solid O-line (as long as Winston Justice doesn’t play) and they will have a fully healthy Donovan McNabb which can only help Westbrook.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1400 Yds Rushing 9 TD, 800 Yds Rec, 7 TD.

4. Joseph Addai- Indianapolis Colts

In his first full year as the featured back Addai proved that he could handle the workload. He accumulated 1072 rushing yards in 15 games and scored 12 TD’s. He also racked in 41 receptions for 364 yards and 3 TD. Addai plays behind a solid offensive line and gets plenty of red zone opportunities. He plays with a couple of guys by the names of Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, and Reggie Wayne the latter may take some red zone looks away from Addai, but their is plenty of love to spread around in this high powered offense. I expect Addai to exceed his 2007 production by a solid amount.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1300 Yds Rushing 13 TD, 400 Yds Rec, 2 TD.

5. Steven Jackson- St. Louis Rams

I thought about ranking Jackson above Addai, but I can’t seem to get over the fact that he plays for a pretty crappy team. Their O-line is questionable at best especially after Orlando Pace went down and Marc Bulger can’t seem to keep himself on the field, leaving the team to a platoon of backups. Jackson wasn’t healthy for a majority of last year so his numbers don’t match his ability or talent. Still, in 12 games he surpassed the 1,000 yard mark and scored 5 TD’s. He has great hands out of the backfield (800Rec. Yds in 2006) and is an absolute beast running the ball when he’s at 100%. If the Rams can solve their O-line issues, and keep Bulger on the field Jackson could return to form and put up numbers similar to his 2006 campaign.

Projected Stat Line: 1600 Yds Rushing 14 TD, 600 Yds Rec, 5 TD

6. Marion Barber- Dallas Cowboys

The only reasons Barber falls to this point is because Dallas drafted Felix Jones in the first round of this years draft. That may say something about what the Cowboys think Barber is capable of, or in this case not capable of. Either they just wanted the most talented player on their draft board and took him, or they don’t think Barber can handle a full workload only time will tell. With that said, it seems pretty clear that Jones will steal some touches from Barber, you don’t let a player with that talent just ride the pine, and that should be a concern for fantasy owners in a position to draft Barber. Barber is a talented hard-running RB, and should definitely retain his goal line duties which still makes him a solid RB 1 option. Last year Barber ran 204 times for 975 yds and 10 TD’s. I expect an increase in his yardage totals but it all depends on how significant a role Felix Jones will play.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1100 Yds Rushing 12 TD, 200 Yds Rec, 1 TD.

7. Clinton Portis- Washington Redskins

Portis was a fantasy stud just a few short years ago, but has been plagued by injuries and inconsistency in the past few years. He still puts up solid numbers (when healthy) as proven by his play last year when he rushed for 1262 yds and 11 TD. The thing that concerns me about Portis besides for the injuries, is that his YPC has declined in each of the past three seasons and he’s carried a tremendous workload throughout the course of his career. On the upside, Jason Campbell seemed to take some steps forward in the quest to turn himself into a true signal caller and Chris Cooley has emerged as a star tight end. That should relieve some of the pressure off Portis’ as teams won’t always be able to stack 8 in the box. keeping Santana Moss on the field and forcing defense to defend against the deep threat would help as well.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1200 Yds Rushing, 10 TD, 400 Yds Rec, 2 TD.

8. Frank Gore- S.F. 49ers

After bursting onto the scene with an amazing 2006 season, Gore and his entire team for that fact, had a down year in ‘07. Gore has the stuff to be an elite RB in this league he just needs more from his teammates. Don’t discount the damage that losing Norv Turner to the Chargers did to San Fran’s offense and Gore in particular either. San Fran was supposed to be a good team last year and things didn’t really work out that way, I wouldn’t say they had a great draft either so it doesn’t look like they are going to get much better. Gore on the other hand can be much better then he was last year when he rushed for 1102 yards and 5 TD’s. I’m not expecting a return to the monster numbers he put up in ‘06 (1695 rush yds, 8 TD) but somewhere in between the two is a safe bet.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1300 Yds Rushing 8 TD, 300 Yds Rec, 1 TD.

9.Jamal Lewis-Cleveland Browns

Since his 2000 yard season in ‘03 Lewis’ production had fallen off steeply. In 2005 he did not even crack the 1000 yard mark. Baltimore shipped him off to Cleveland at a bargain rate and pretty much everyone assumed Lewis was finished as an elite back in the NFL. Well, Lewis did a lot to change that notion last season as he truly seemed to return to form and played a key role in helping to turn around the Cleveland franchise. He ran for 1304 yards,scored 9 TD’s and raised his YPC from a meager 3.6 in 2006 to a steady 4.4 in 2007. The Browns are a team on the verge, they have a young offensive line that should continue to get better as they grow with each other and the offense. Braylon Edwards has emerged into a star talent at wide receiver, Kellen Winslow has finally developed into the TE many thought he would be, and Derek Anderson looks to be the answer the Browns have been looking for at the QB position. These offensive weapons make it less likely that teams will key on Lewis as they were able to do in Baltimore. I suspect that last years numbers were no fluke.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1300 Yds Rushing 11 TD, 200 Yds Rec, 1 TD.

10. Larry Johnson- Kansas City Chiefs

Johnson had an extremely disappointing year in 2007 especially since he had set the bar so high in the previous two seasons. Injuries forced him to play in only 8 games, in which he ran for just 559 yards and 3 TD’s with a 3.5 YPC average. The Chiefs O-line showed their age last season and were unable to create the holes Johnson needed to make an impact. The QB situation was pretty dismal as well, Brodie Croyle may be a good QB some day but he hasn’t demonstrated that to this point. On the plus side of things the Chiefs had one of the best, if not the best, drafts and added some new blood on the O-line when they selected Branden Albert who should step in and play immediately. Albert should help the O-line in opening up holes some of those holes for Johnson that weren’t there last year. The Chiefs also drafted Jamaal Charles the RB from Texas, which means they could be worried about another potential breakdown from Johnson. It also seems clear that they do not want Johnson to shoulder as much of the workload as he has in the past in hopes of avoiding injury or fatigue. This could mean some lost touches for Johnson but he will still keep the all important goal line duties so I wouldn’t worry about Charles’ presence all that much. I’m doubting that Johnson will return to those 1700 yard seasons of the past but a return to form is expected.

2008 Projected Stat Line: 1500 Yds rushing 14 TD, 400 Yds Rec, 2 TD.

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Fantasy Update:Biggest Surprises

By Matt Valentine

Just like there are always a number of disappointing players, the fantasy season brings with it some big surprises and this year is no different. Some young studs have found their groove on the mound or in the batters box. While some seasoned vets are putting up the best numbers of their careers. These are the top 5 most surprising fantasy performers to date.

Biggest Surprises/ Best Value

1. Tim Lincecum: SP S.F. Giants

After an above average rookie season Lincecum has been fantastic in his sophomore season. He is currently second in the league in K’s with 53, and has posted a record of 5-1 with a 1.61 ERA for a dismal Giants team. Lincecum has the stuff to dominate, and making a move for this guy is a sound decision for any fantasy owner. I have Lincecum in my own league and was recently offered this trade: Dick-K and Hanley Ramirez for Jose Reyes and Lincecum. I will most likely make the deal as the prospect of replacing Reyes with the ever consistent Hanley is just too appealing to me, but I really hesitate to get rid of Lincecum. If this was a keeper league I probably wouldn’t do it.

2. Cliff Lee: SP Cleveland Indians

Lee has had good seasons in the past going 18-5 with a 3.79 ERA for Cleveland in 2005 but seemed to digress after that point. In fact in 2007 Cleveland sent Lee back down to the minors after Lee dropped to 5-8 with a 6.38 ERA in 16 starts. He was 0-4 with an 11.70 ERA in his final four starts, having given up 26 earned runs in 20 innings. Well, I don’t know what the hell happened to Lee in the off-season but this guy certainly found whatever it was he was missing. He’s come back this year on absolute fire having gone 6-0 so far, and posting a get this, league leading, microscopic 0.67 ERA. He’s striking people out at a good clip, about 5-8 K’s per game and hardly ever walks batters posting a 0.67 WHIP. Considering his stats from last year I’m betting anyone who took a flier on this guy in a late round is grinning ear to ear.

3. Rafael Furcal: SS L.A. Dodgers

Maybe there is something to be said about players entering a contract year. Furcal has been one of fantasy’s best performers this year outperforming many of the other “stud” short stops taken before him in many drafts. He was recently placed on the 15 day DL suffering from a lower back sprain which could be an issue for the rest of the season but if he comes back and performs anywhere near the level he was he would be an absolute bargain. Before his DL stint Furcal was batting .366 and showed vastly increased power having already tied his HR total from all of last year with 6. He’s a tremendous base runner and will put up runs in bunches. Considering where he was taken in most drafts, he may turn out to be the best bargain outside of Cliff Lee in all of fantasy baseball.

4. Josh Hamilton: OF Texas Rangers

I’m not sure if I would consider this a surprise but it has been a long, hard road just for Hamilton to make it to the majors let alone become a fantasy stud. After being one of baseball’s top prospects “The Natural” Hamilton, struggled with drug addiction that threatened to de-rail his career altogether. But man, has this kid risen from the ashes, to become one of baseball’s best all around threats. Hamilton hits for power 8 HR so far, is leading the league in RBI’s with 43, and is batting .306. With all the OF’s that went before him and all of the one’s he is out producing Hamilton is indeed a nice bargain.

5. Edinson Volquez: SP Cincinnati Reds

I have to be honest, I have never heard of this guy until this season and for that reason he may well be the biggest surprise in all of fantasy baseball. Volquez has pitched a grand total of 122 innings in the majors since 2005 making the 42.1 innings he’s pitched this year his career mark. If he continues to pitch the way he has it could end up being a hall of fame career, that’s how good he’s been. He has yet to surrender more than 1 run in his first 7 starts and has posted a 5-1 record with a 1.06 ERA. He needs to work on his control a bit more , if only to get his pitch count down but there are fantasy owners out there praising themselves at the moment for either plucking this guy off the waiver wire or making him a late round pick. Funnily enough Volquez and my other surprise Hamilton were traded for each other. I guess it’s worked out well for both teams to this point.

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